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U of I Flash Index continues to trend upward
The University of Illinois’ Flash Index, a measure of the overall performance of the Illinois economy, recently reported an increase for the second month in a row in June. The Flash index is “the weighted average of Illinois growth rates in corporate earnings, consumer spending, and personal income as estimated from receipts for corporate income,…
The Illinois municipality with the worst bond rating
Riverdale, a small municipality of roughly 10,000 residents, is in trouble. In April of this year, Fitch Ratings downgraded Riverdale’s Issuer Default Rating (IDR) from B‑ to CCC‑, citing reasons such as low margin for servicing obligation, weakened financial profile, negative general fund reserves, very limited liquidity, and deferral of pension spending. With Fitch’s downgrade,…
Mid-year update on the State Pension System
Illinois pensions remain significantly underfunded, but the trajectory has improved over the last several years due to full statutory payments, supplemental contributions, and strong investment markets. Earlier this year in February, Gov. Pritzker announced a path to full funding by 2048, building on a 2024 multi-tiered pension plan and recent credit upgrades. The administration plans…
The Rise and Regulation of Prediction Markets
The growing popularity among states to legalize sports gambling has led way to another growing phenomena, prediction markets. These markets—platforms where users trade on the outcome of future events—have transitioned from academic curiosities to a multi-billion dollar industry. The concept of participating in prediction markets is simple: a user pays a sum of money to…
U of I Flash Index shows uptick in Illinois economy for May
The University of Illinois’ Flash Index, a measure of the overall performance of the Illinois economy, recently reported an increase after four straight months of decline. The Flash index is “the weighted average of Illinois growth rates in corporate earnings, consumer spending, and personal income as estimated from receipts for corporate income, individual income, and…
The economics of Chicago’s Italian Beef Sandwich
Italian beef sandwiches have been a staple of Chicago cuisine, but with the popularity of the tv show The Bear it has elevated its presence on the national scene. So much so that there has been a growing appetite within the General Assembly to make it the national sandwich of Illinois. The origin of the…
Hello NITA, Goodbye RTA
The Illinois General Assembly has adjourned from the Spring Legislative Session and one of the newest governmental entities that was created is the Northern Illinois Transit Authority (NITA). Established under Public Act 104-0457, the NITA replaces the Regional Transportation Authority (RTA) beginning on September 1st, 2026, and will oversee the three main transit entities – …
The Dow turned 130 years old. Here are some Illinois based companies formally part of the Index
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, a price-weighted stock market index tracking 30 large companies listed on U.S. exchanges, turned 130 years old on May 26. Currently, there are no Illinois based companies listed on the Index. However, there have been some notables over the years. Kraft Foods Most Americans grew up recognizing the iconic blue-boxed…
Memorial Day Weekend Gas Tracker
The average price for gas in the United States is currently above $4.50, with some states posting higher amounts than others. This has been the highest recorded since the summer of 2022. Here in Illinois, gas prices are on the higher end – nearly approaching $5.00 on average. However, because most of the population in…
Illinois lagged behind rest of nation in manufacturing output in April
Federal Reserve data recently reported that industrial production in the United States increased 0.6 percent in the month of April. Remarkably, this was the fourth straight month showing a gain. While this news presents optimism for the nation as a whole, recent data from the Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (CPMI) indicates a contraction of the…
The enigma of high prices and consumer spending
A recent report by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics noted that prices increased 0.6 percent in the month of April, mainly due to oil supply disruptions from the War in Iran. At that pace, prices are expected to increase by about 3.8 percent annually. The growing concern isn’t just how high prices (especially gas…
April economic numbers for the Illinois economy
The University of Illinois’ Flash Index, a measure of the overall performance of the Illinois economy, recently reported a decline for the fourth month in a row. The Flash index is “the weighted average of Illinois growth rates in corporate earnings, consumer spending, and personal income as estimated from receipts for corporate income, individual income,…
Federal Reforms Are Badly Needed
By: Lou Gale Our federal constitution dates back to the 18th Century. By comparison, the Illinois Constitution dates all the way back to 1977, when I was just three years old. That fact alone indicates our nation needs a constitutional refresher. Congressman Sean Casten recently released a package of government reforms called a Common Sense…
Why Run for Office
[The following was originally published on 9/9/19 and then updated 8/29/2022] By: Lou Gale I’m not sure who said it, but democracy is not a spectator sport. A similar sentiment was more eloquently said by Teddy Roosevelt, who said that the average citizen must be a good citizen if our republic is to succeed. …
Our Recent Publications
- U of I Flash Index continues to trend upward
- The Illinois municipality with the worst bond rating
- Mid-year update on the State Pension System
- The Rise and Regulation of Prediction Markets
- U of I Flash Index shows uptick in Illinois economy for May
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